Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 11

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Kumla		Vänersborgs IF

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.55
	2.22	3.7	2.68
	2.25	3.63	2.59
	2.33	3.75	2.55	Watch
	2.29	3.56	2.55
	2.22	3.7	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)	3.64 ↓ (3.82)	2.6 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kumla
40.2%

Draw
24.9%

Vänersborgs IF
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

23.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kumla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kumla's form might have worsened.

Vänersborgs IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kumla than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kumla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Kumla - Vänersborgs IF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Andersson Segerlind J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Vukaj K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vänersborgs IF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kumla has had a series of away games.

Kumla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kumla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kumla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Kumla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
29.05.25	Kongahälla - Kumla	3:1 ✺
24.05.25	Vänersborgs FK - Kumla	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Kumla - Tord	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Grebbestad - Kumla	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	FBK Karlstad - Kumla	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWL
- Vänersborgs IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
02.06.25	Vänersborgs IF - Vänersborgs FK	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Grebbestad - Vänersborgs IF	3:0 ✺
18.05.25	Vänersborgs IF - Motala	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Haga - Vänersborgs IF	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs IF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
24.08.24	Kumla - Vänersborgs IF	1:1
28.04.24	Vänersborgs IF - Kumla	1:0

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