Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 6

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Sydbank Park (Haderslev)

Referee: Baek J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	SønderjyskE		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.31	5.25	7.25
	1.32	5.5	7.5
	1.33	5.72	8.07
				Watch
	1.25	6.25	10.25	Watch
	1.3	5.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.75)	5.53 ↑ (3.5)	8.13 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SønderjyskE
71.6%

Draw
16.9%

HB Køge
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SønderjyskE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SønderjyskE's performance.

HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HB Køge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SønderjyskE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HB Køge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

SønderjyskE - HB Køge Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. SønderjyskE will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Køge will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SønderjyskE: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flo N. (G) 3. Waever S. 12. Soulas M. 26. Sommer T. 16. Thorsen J. 7. Emini S. 24. Vinderslev R. 25. Agger M. 18. Nikolov I. 20. Christiansen P. 10. Ingason K.	1. John S. (G) 15. Bayrak E. 16. Hald S. 4. Cavnic N. 13. Larsen S. 8. Madsen W. 6. Seehusen J. 24. Jorgensen C. 10. Larsen P. 19. Semovski E. 14. Adedeji J.
Substitutes
14. Andreasen S. 21. Barkarson A. 11. Berggreen E. 28. Dakir J. (G) 5. Dal Hende M. 17. Gallegos J. 29. Jorgensen K. 19. Ladefoged M. 22. Oggesen A.	12. Bayrak B. (G) 27. Dorgu I. 28. Larsen G. 20. Pedersen T. 26. Schmidt L. 18. Shirzai Y. 30. Villumsen E.
Coaches
Norgaard T.	Pedersen N.

Preview

SønderjyskE is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Køge is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SønderjyskE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SønderjyskE is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's SønderjyskE to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SønderjyskE won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams SønderjyskE won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SønderjyskE
Danish 1 Division
18.08.23	Kolding IF - SønderjyskE	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	SønderjyskE - Horsens	5:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.08.23	Horsens - SønderjyskE	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
06.08.23	Næstved BK - SønderjyskE	1:4 ✺
28.07.23	SønderjyskE - Fredericia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWL
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
20.08.23	HB Køge - Hobro	0:2 ✺
11.08.23	HB Køge - B.93 Copenhagen	1:7 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
08.08.23	Tårnby FF - HB Køge	1:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
04.08.23	Horsens - HB Køge	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	HB Køge - Vendsyssel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
30.10.22	HB Køge - SønderjyskE	1:4
Danish Landspokal Cup
18.10.22	HB Køge - SønderjyskE	1:4
Danish 1 Division
06.08.22	SønderjyskE - HB Køge	3:1

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