Match Info

Oberliga Hamburg - Round 21

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Süderelbe		HEBC Hamburg

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 (1.72)	4.35 ↓ (4.45)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 11.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Süderelbe
52.2%

Draw
20.6%

HEBC Hamburg
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

20.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

20.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Süderelbe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

HEBC Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Süderelbe than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HEBC Hamburg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Süderelbe won 3.

Süderelbe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HEBC Hamburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

HEBC Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Süderelbe might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Süderelbe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Süderelbe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 4:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Suderelbe	10	3	3	4	14:13	1	12
13	HEBC Hamburg	10	4	0	6	13:15	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Süderelbe
German Oberliga Hamburg
19.04.26	Türkiye Wilhelmsburg - Süderelbe	3:0 ✺
14.04.26	Süderelbe - Curslack Neuengamme	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Süderelbe - TSV Buchholz 08	5:3 ✺
03.04.26	Sasel - Süderelbe	3:1 ✺
06.03.26	Süderelbe - ETSV Hamburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWLT
- HEBC Hamburg
German Oberliga Hamburg
14.04.26	Halstenbek-Rellingen - HEBC Hamburg	1:4 ✺
02.04.26	HEBC Hamburg - Curslack Neuengamme	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Vorwärts-Wacker - HEBC Hamburg	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	HEBC Hamburg - Teutonia Ottensen	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	HEBC Hamburg - Victoria Hamburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
17.08.25	HEBC Hamburg - Süderelbe	0:0
30.03.25	HEBC Hamburg - Süderelbe	1:2
12.10.24	Süderelbe - HEBC Hamburg	2:3
26.11.23	HEBC Hamburg - Süderelbe	1:3
04.08.23	Süderelbe - HEBC Hamburg	6:1
26.03.23	HEBC Hamburg - Süderelbe	4:1
07.10.22	Süderelbe - HEBC Hamburg	4:1

Süderelbe - HEBC Hamburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide