Match Info

Date: 3 August 2021, Tuesday


	Sūduva 2		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
	6	4.6	1.34
	6.5	4.75	1.33
	5.8	4.8	1.33
	6.26	5.01	1.36
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	6.35	4.92	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↑ (5.7)	4.76 ↑ (4.5)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva 2
14.4%

Draw
18.9%

Babrungas Plungė
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.1%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

17.2%

75.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Babrungas Plungė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sūduva 2 - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ I Lyga (Promotion Group)).

Sūduva 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Babrungas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Babrungas is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sūduva 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sūduva 2
Lithuanian Division 2
30.07.21	Jonava - Sūduva 2	2:0 ✺
06.07.21	Sūduva 2 - FA Šiauliai	1:2 ✺
03.07.21	Sūduva 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:3 ✺
26.06.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Sūduva 2	3:1 ✺
20.06.21	Sūduva 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
30.07.21	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:3 ✺
06.07.21	Babrungas Plungė - Jonava	1:2 ✺
03.07.21	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	4:2 ✺
27.06.21	Babrungas Plungė - FA Šiauliai	0:4 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.21	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
03.04.21	Babrungas Plungė - Sūduva 2	1:0

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