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Current Win Probability
Babrungas Plungė 61.3%
Draw 23.3%
Jonava 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
23.9%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
23%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Babrungas Plungė - Jonava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - TOPLYGA (Promotion: ) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 2.
Babrungas is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Jonava has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Babrungas for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Babrungas has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Babrungas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Babrungas
25
19
4
2
43:11
32
61
11
Jonava
25
7
6
12
28:33
-5
27
Last Results with these Odds
Babrungas Plungė - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 59.31%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.