Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 9

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole)

Referee: Simenas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Sūduva Marijampolė		Džiugas Telšiai

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.5	Watch
	2.09	3.4	3.88
	1.99	3.31	3.77	Watch
	1.95	3	3.5
	2.01	2.97	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.08)	3.17 ↓ (3.34)	3.68 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva Marijampolė
45.9%

Draw
29.1%

Džiugas Telšiai
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Plukas I. (G) 4. Uzochukwu H. 29. Beneta M. 15. Zivanovic A. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 6. Sabo A. 8. Lawson S. 10. Haydary O. 94. Sanokho S. M. 7. Seck I. 14. Steponavicius F.	1. Paukste M. (G) 4. Sane B. 24. Okpolokpo J. 23. Cisse I. 2. Vermeulen V. 8. Bunchukov D. 16. Chapi 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 46. Wawszczyk J. 90. Sobowale R. 27. Vinckus D.
Substitutes
77. Bickauskas P. 22. Dhouib W. 23. Grigalava R. 9. Lucky T. 13. Mikulenas M. 20. Omori Y. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 46. Skamarakas I. 75. Stockunas E.	44. Asomugha B. 77. Marchuk A. 6. Pavlovskij N. 10. Piliukaitis V. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 9. Scotto I. E. 48. Stelmokas T. 30. Vosylius N. 14. Zevzikovas D.
Coaches
Vencevicius D.	Lipskis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Steponavicius F. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Sobowale R. ⚽, Vinckus D. (A),
21', Sane B. 🟨,
27', Zivanovic A. 🟨,
42', Haydary O. ↓, Mikulenas M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Lawson S. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Steponavicius F. ↓, Omori Y. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Okpolokpo J. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Lucky T. ⚽,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 2.

Sūduva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Džiugas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Džiugas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Džiugas has had a series of away games.

Sūduva might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
6	Dziugas Telsiai	28	10	8	10	36:40	-4	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.04.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Riteriai	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	0:0 ✺
10.03.26	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTL
- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
12.04.26	Džiugas Telšiai - FA Šiauliai	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Banga Gargždai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Riteriai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
18.10.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0
27.07.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	2:3
25.05.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1
28.03.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	1:0
14.09.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1
30.06.24	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0
11.05.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1

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