Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 5

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Panevėžys		Riteriai

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.15
	1.68	3.7	5.57
	1.52	4.12	5.88	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.66	3.43	5.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)	3.63 ↓ (4.44)	5.47 ↓ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
57.6%

Draw
25.5%

Riteriai
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.9%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panevėžys's form might have worsened.

Riteriai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Panevėžys - Riteriai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 32. Rasimavicius R. 5. van den Bos M. 15. Janusevskis J. 95. Bopesu J. 7. Veliulis E. 6. Ramanauskas M. 34. Asante I. 80. Elivelton 28. Burdzilauskas E. 9. Muratovic E.	26. Moschin S. (G) 2. Bondar D. 4. Karamarko M. 32. Radenovic V. 19. Drina A. 3. Bulatovic V. 14. Baftalovskyi A. 23. Rimpa D. 11. Novikovas A. (C) 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 9. Mikulenas M.
Substitutes
21. Adah J. 16. Bacanin M. 66. Balsys D. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 11. Grajfoner L. 13. Kerkez S. 17. Kurtsev O. 4. Mzoughi R. 26. Simon J. 12. Valius L. (G)	92. Andraikenas K. (G) 10. Civilka S. 35. Garapko P. 27. Gelombickas D. 80. Kedman M. 50. Latvys M. 17. Lipinskas D. 37. Sankin A. (G) 6. Sveistrys A. 16. Usavicius J. 77. Zdanovic E.
Coaches
Vrabec R.	Mihailov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', Baftalovskyi A. ↓, Usavicius J. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Muratovic E. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Mikulenas M. ⚽, Bondar D. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Elivelton ⚽, Muratovic E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rasimavicius R. 🟨,
49', Elivelton 🟨,
49', Burdzilauskas E. 🟨,
53', Bondar D. 🟨,
60', Mikulenas M. 🟥,
62', Veliulis E. ↓, Adah J. ↑,
62', Elivelton ↓, Kurtsev O. ↑,
66', Asante I. 🟨,
72', Bulatovic V. ↓, Latvys M. ↑,
72', Karamarko M. ↓, Sveistrys A. ↑,
72', Estevez Fernandez L. ↓, Kedman M. ↑,
77', Bopesu J. 🟨,
79', Muratovic E. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
79', Novikovas A. ↓, Civilka S. ↑,
88', Asante I. ↓, Simon J. ↑,
88', Burdzilauskas E. ↓, Grajfoner L. ↑,
90+2', Bacanin M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 in the zone TOPLYGA (Relegation) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 3.

Panevėžys has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Riteriai has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Riteriai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Panevėžys is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32
10	Riteriai ✔	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	4:1 ✺
22.02.26	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Super Cup
16.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.03.26	Riteriai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Banga Gargždai - Riteriai	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Transinvest - Riteriai	3:0 ✺
23.02.26	Riteriai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Transinvest - Riteriai	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
22.10.25	Panevėžys - Riteriai	0:1
01.08.25	Riteriai - Panevėžys	1:3
17.05.25	Panevėžys - Riteriai	3:0
05.04.25	Riteriai - Panevėžys	3:1
02.09.23	Riteriai - Panevėžys	0:2
30.06.23	Panevėžys - Riteriai	1:0
29.04.23	Panevėžys - Riteriai	3:1

Panevėžys - Riteriai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide