Match Info
Derde Divisie - Round 29Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
TOGB |
|
UNA |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
3.6 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.02 |
3.56 |
2.99 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.7 |
2.99 |
 Watch |
 |
2 |
3.6 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.9 |
3.02 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.75) |
3.67 ↓
(3.9) |
2.97 ↓
(3.66) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
TOGB
44.7% | Draw
24.7% | UNA
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TOGB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TOGB's form might have worsened.UNA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UNA's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for TOGB than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TOGB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNA than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UNA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.TOGB - UNA Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Derde Divisie (Relegation)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TOGB won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.TOGB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, TOGB is a strong favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, TOGB won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.8:2.5).Including home matches between the teams, TOGB won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Dutch Derde Divisie | | | 09.11.25 | UNA - TOGB | 1:2 | | 13.04.25 | TOGB - UNA | 1:2 | | 07.04.24 | TOGB - UNA | 3:0 | | 05.11.23 | UNA - TOGB | 4:2 | | 19.03.23 | UNA - TOGB | 3:2 | | 20.10.22 | TOGB - UNA | 1:5 |
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