Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Groene Ster		UNA

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.55
	2.32	3.40	2.52
	2.40	3.45	2.47
	2.39	3.7	2.48	Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.40
	2.34	4.16	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.02)	3.59 ↓ (4.08)	2.49 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groene Ster
38.5%

Draw
25.2%

UNA
36.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

22.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

22%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groene Ster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Groene Ster's form might have worsened.

UNA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groene Ster than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Groene Ster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNA than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Groene Ster - UNA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 3)

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th and 15th in the Derde Divisie (Relegation)).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

UNA could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Groene Ster is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Groene Ster has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Groene Ster against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:5 goals (averaging 1.5:2.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKSV Groene Ster
Dutch Derde Divisie
18.10.26	Dongen - Groene Ster	3:0 ✺
11.10.26	Groene Ster - GOES	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Rijnvogels - Groene Ster	5:1 ✺
27.09.26	Groene Ster - Gemert	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
22.09.26	Groene Ster - Amsterdamsche FC	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- VV UNA
Dutch Derde Divisie
18.10.26	UNA - UDI 19	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Blauw Geel 38 - UNA	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	UNA - Dongen	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	GOES - UNA	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	UNA - Rijnvogels	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
08.03.26	Groene Ster - UNA	0:4
05.10.25	UNA - Groene Ster	2:0
24.03.24	Groene Ster - UNA	3:1
15.10.23	UNA - Groene Ster	1:0

Groene Ster - UNA