Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group C

Date: 29 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Puuluodon urheilukeskus (Tornio)


	TP-47		OTP

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.1
	1.67	4.2	4
	1.62	4.05	3.9
	1.5	4.2	4.75
	1.57	3.9	4.47
	1.6	4.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	4.22 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TP-47
56.6%

Draw
22%

OTP
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

21.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

18.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TP-47 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

OTP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TP-47 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OTP than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

TP 47 - OTP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Peltokorpi A. (G) 8. Alamaki J. 19. Erkinmikko J. 7. Eskelinen M. 5. Isokangas J. 3. Korkeamaki H. 27. Lohela J. 22. Marjamaa S. 9. Moilanen V. 21. Saloniemi E. 2. Wiena T. (C)	13. Espada L. (G) 7. Bohui C. 80. Fathi J. 14. Inalli A. 24. Jibrin A. (C) 21. Luolavirta N. 6. Makarainen H. 3. Meglinski N. 50. Ntambwe Y. 30. Savolainen R. 31. Tisora A.
Substitutes
20. Harju E. 12. Mattinen V. 6. Niskala J. 41. Nousiainen T. (G) 33. Ponkala J. 4. Seitamaa J.	18. Blomster E. 35. Ibiyomi M. 5. Kotilainen I. 1. Slewa G. (G) 19. Torabihaghighi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Inalli A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Eskelinen M. ⚽,
29', Inalli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ntambwe Y. ↓, Ibiyomi M. ↑,
60', Korkeamaki H. 🟨,
64', Erkinmikko J. ↓, Harju E. ↑,
65', Espada L. 🟥,
66', Fathi J. ↓, Slewa G. ↑,
71', Alamaki J. 🟨,
73', Korkeamaki H. 🟨,
87', Eskelinen M. ↓, Mattinen V. ↑,
88', Jibrin A. ↓, Torabihaghighi S. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).

TP-47 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

OTP has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match TP-47 is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches TP-47 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams TP-47 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TP-47
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
25.05.24	TP-47 - GBK Kokkola	3:7 ✺
16.05.24	JS Hercules - TP-47	1:7 ✺
12.05.24	TP-47 - Kuopion Elo	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	JBK - TP-47	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	SJK Akatemia 2 - TP-47	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLL
- Oulun Työväen Palloilijat
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
25.05.24	JBK - OTP	3:0 ✺
18.05.24	OTP - Närpes	0:1 ✺
13.05.24	Oulun Palloseura - OTP	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	OTP - JPS	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	OTP - Kuopion Elo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
16.09.23	OTP - TP-47	2:1
01.07.23	TP-47 - OTP	1:3
30.09.17	TP-47 - OTP	4:0
14.07.17	OTP - TP-47	1:4

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