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Current Win Probability
TP-47 43.9%
Draw 22.5%
GBK Kokkola 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
22.3%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
23%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TP-47 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TP-47's form might have worsened.
GBK Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GBK Kokkola's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TP-47, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GBK Kokkola than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GBK Kokkola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
TP 47 - GBK Kokkola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Rapo J. (G) 6. Ajayi O. 8. Alamaki J. (C) 27. Autti L. 7. Eskelinen M. 11. Koivumies L. 28. Kulju H. 22. Lantto E. 17. Niskala J. 2. Rauvala S. 97. Taskila E.
1. Lazarev S. (C) 23. Bjorkgren A. 9. de Sousa S. 11. Felipe Zuca 6. Hanhisuanto J. 20. Hirvikoski N. 22. Kukkola E. 8. Luokkala V. 72. Maldonado T. 10. Moraes L. 17. Ojala J.
Substitutes
20. Barrow A. 5. Isokangas J. 16. Korkeamaki H. 23. Liimatta L. 3. Mattinen V. 1. Nousiainen T. (G) 21. Toivanen E.
37. Enlund R. 25. Ingerstrom J. (G) 44. Kangas A. 14. Leskinen J. 32. Tuikkanen R. 99. Vinicio M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TP-47 won 1.
TP-47 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
GBK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, TP-47 won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.7:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, TP-47 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 2.3:3).