Match Info

AFRICA: AFL - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	TP Mazembe		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	2.88	2.65	2.87
	2.9	2.65	2.86
	3.22	3.04	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (1.78)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)	2.49 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TP Mazembe
30.4%

Draw
32.4%

Espérance ST
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

29.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TP Mazembe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TP Mazembe's form might have worsened.

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espérance ST's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	23.8%	71.4%

TP Mazembe - Espérance ST Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mazembe will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espérance ST: 52.1% – 90.7%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Siadi B. (G) 13. Fofana C. 7. Kinzumbi P. 18. Badamassi O. 35. Likonza G. 40. Mondeko Zatu K. (C) 2. Keita I. 15. Soumana B. H. 23. Nguer M. T. 31. Ntambwe M. 17. Ngalamulume B.	1. Memmiche A. A. (G) 22. Amamou H. 31. El Ayeb Z. 8. Teka H. 5. Meriah Y. 2. Ben Ali M. 18. Ghacha H. 20. Ben Hamida M. (C) 19. Zaddem M. 11. Bouguerra O. 27. Sowe K.
Substitutes
34. Bakata J. 9. Beya J. 33. Faty A. B. (G) 29. Luzolo E. 6. Mawawu O. 32. Mungwengi J. 11. Ngimbi M. 25. Ngonga A. 19. Oladapo A. 22. Shaibu S. (G) 24. Soze Z. 5. Zon A.	21. Abid M. 12. Ben Cherifia M. (G) 29. Ben Hammouda M. 13. Bouchniba R. 4. Derbali M. 36. Ogbelu O. 23. Ouahabi G. 9. Rodrigo Rodrigues 24. Sahli B. 30. Shili O. 15. Tougai M. 10. Yan Sasse
Coaches
N'Diyae L.	Thabet T.

Preview

1st leg.

Espérance ST is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match TP Mazembe is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches TP Mazembe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams TP Mazembe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TP Mazembe
CAF Confederation Cup
02.04.23	TP Mazembe - Young Africans	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Real Bamako - TP Mazembe	2:1 ✺
08.03.23	Monastir - TP Mazembe	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	TP Mazembe - Monastir	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Young Africans - TP Mazembe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
07.10.23	Espérance ST - Monastir	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.09.23	Espérance ST - AS Douanes	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.09.23	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Espérance ST - Métlaoui	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	Tataouine - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
04.05.19	TP Mazembe - Espérance ST	0:0
27.04.19	Espérance ST - TP Mazembe	1:0
20.10.12	Espérance ST - TP Mazembe	1:0
07.10.12	TP Mazembe - Espérance ST	0:0

TP Mazembe - Espérance ST: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide