Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 7

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	TSV Havelse		Drochtersen Assel

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.9	3.6	3.6
	2.04	3.39	3.35
	1.88	3.6	3.61	Watch
	1.81	3.6	3.76
	1.9	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.47)	3.53 ↓ (4.3)	3.59 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
48.5%

Draw
25.9%

Drochtersen Assel
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

19.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TSV Havelse's form might have worsened.

Drochtersen Assel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Drochtersen Assel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TSV Havelse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drochtersen Assel than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Drochtersen Assel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

TSV Havelse - Drochtersen Assel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Havelse will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Drochtersen Assel will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Mohr T. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ifeadigo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 1, Plume N. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havelse won 2.

Havelse in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Drochtersen Assel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Havelse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Havelse is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Havelse to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Havelse won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Havelse won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
24.08.24	SC Weiche-08 - TSV Havelse	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	TSV Havelse - Holstein Kiel II	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Hamburger II - TSV Havelse	0:6 ✺
11.08.24	TSV Havelse - St. Pauli II	3:1 ✺
04.08.24	Todesfelde - TSV Havelse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- SV Drochtersen Assel
German Regionalliga North
23.08.24	Drochtersen Assel - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
20.08.24	Jeddeloh - Drochtersen Assel	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Meppen - Drochtersen Assel	0:0 ✺
02.08.24	SC Weiche-08 - Drochtersen Assel	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Drochtersen Assel - Holstein Kiel II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
18.05.24	TSV Havelse - Drochtersen Assel	1:2
18.11.23	Drochtersen Assel - TSV Havelse	2:0
21.05.23	TSV Havelse - Drochtersen Assel	2:1
12.11.22	Drochtersen Assel - TSV Havelse	0:2
17.11.19	TSV Havelse - Drochtersen Assel	1:2
31.07.19	Drochtersen Assel - TSV Havelse	3:0
07.04.19	TSV Havelse - Drochtersen Assel	0:1

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