Match Info

3. Liga - Round 6

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Eilenriedestadion (Hannover)

Referee: Wilke M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	TSV Havelse		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.91	Watch
	3.25	3.75	1.95
	3.46	3.73	1.93	Watch
	3.44	3.72	1.91	Watch
	3.33	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (4)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	1.93 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
27.6%

Draw
24.7%

Ingolstadt
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.7%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

21.5%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

TSV Havelse - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Havelse will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ingolstadt will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Opitz T. (G) 5. Minz D. 24. Plume N. 4. Kolgeci B. 39. Riedel F. 8. Berger J. 22. Sommer L. 19. Boujellab N. 10. Duker J. (C) 23. Muller R. 17. Posselt J. X.	1. Ponath M. (G) 3. Decker E. 32. Lorenz S. 15. Scholz J. 20. Deichmann Y. 34. Frode L. (C) 22. Costly M. 17. Besuschkow M. 8. Carlsen F. 7. Sturm Y. 9. Borchers M.
Substitutes
7. Aytun E. 6. Belkahia S. 40. Busse J. (G) 30. Friedrich T. 14. Ilic M. 11. Jaeschke Y. 9. Paldino L. 33. Rexhepi A. 28. Rufidis J.	24. Christensen G. 25. Eisele K. (G) 41. Hengmith T. 29. Kugel J. 23. Maljojoki J. 42. Ozden M. 39. Ozturk B. 14. Plath M. 33. Sekulovic D.
Coaches
Ferchichi S.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Kolgeci B. (Pen),
19', 2 - 0, Berger J. ⚽, Boujellab N. (A),
28', Decker E. 🟨,
28', Kolgeci B. 🟨,
33', Minz D. ↓, Belkahia S. ↑,
34', Besuschkow M. 🟨,
38', Boujellab N. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Besuschkow M. ⚽,
44', Plume N. 🟥,
45', 2 - 2, Carlsen F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Decker E. ↓, Plath M. ↑,
46', Posselt J. X. ↓, Ilic M. ↑,
53', 2 - 3, Costly M. ⚽, Deichmann Y. (A),
55', Berger J. 🟨,
56', Carlsen F. 🟨,
63', 2 - 4, Sturm Y. ⚽, Borchers M. (A),
65', Deichmann Y. ↓, Christensen G. ↑,
69', Berger J. ↓, Rufidis J. ↑,
69', Sommer L. ↓, Aytun E. ↑,
72', Borchers M. ↓, Kugel J. ↑,
77', Muller R. ↓, Paldino L. ↑,
82', 2 - 5, Costly M. ⚽, Kugel J. (A),
87', 2 - 6, Sturm Y. ⚽, Besuschkow M. (A),
89', Plath M. 🟨,
90', Costly M. ↓, Maljojoki J. ↑,
90+1', Sturm Y. ↓, Ozturk B. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Havelse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ingolstadt could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga
14.09.25	1860 München - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	TSV Havelse - Osnabrück	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	TSV Havelse - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Hoffenheim II - TSV Havelse	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLTT
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
13.09.25	Ingolstadt - Schweinfurt	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Ingolstadt - Hansa Rostock	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ingolstadt - Jahn Regensburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTLT

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