Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	TSV Kottern		Ingolstadt II

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.75
	3.45	3.45	1.8
	3.5	3.5	1.79
	4.64	4.01	1.65
	3.84	4.2	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (5.08)	3.78 ↓ (4.4)	1.73 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Kottern
23.9%

Draw
23.9%

Ingolstadt II
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

20.4%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

19.4%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Kottern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TSV Kottern's performance.

Ingolstadt II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ingolstadt II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Kottern than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TSV Kottern that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt II than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ingolstadt II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

TSV Kottern - Ingolstadt II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3).

Kottern is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ingolstadt II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ingolstadt II is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kottern won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kottern won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Kottern
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
15.10.22	Ismaning - TSV Kottern	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	TSV Kottern - Erlbach	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Kirchanschöring - TSV Kottern	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	TSV Kottern - Garching	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Deisenhofen - TSV Kottern	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLL
- Ingolstadt II
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
15.10.22	Ingolstadt II - Gundelfingen	3:1 ✺
11.10.22	Memmingen - Ingolstadt II	0:0 ✺
23.09.22	Ingolstadt II - Hallbergmoos-Goldach	4:1 ✺
17.09.22	Ingolstadt II - 1860 Rosenheim	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Ismaning - Ingolstadt II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
21.05.22	TSV Kottern - Ingolstadt II	2:3
22.10.21	Ingolstadt II - TSV Kottern	0:0
21.09.19	Ingolstadt II - TSV Kottern	2:2

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