The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tabasalu 27.4%
Draw 21.7%
Saku Sporting 50.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
19.8%
58%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
19.2%
59.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tabasalu's performance.
Saku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saku Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tabasalu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saku Sporting than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saku Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tabasalu - Saku Sporting Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Korran M. (G) 28. Kimsen M. 2. Ilisson A. 8. Melis H. 72. Tammeveski L. 31. Silina E. 11. Joelaid M. 3. Rank R. 36. Salei A. (C) 26. Poora K. 10. Pajuviidik A.
5. Eismann C. (G) 8. Gross G. 11. Polluvee E. 2. Toding V. 7. Juksar A. 4. Daut G. (C) 14. Hansar R. 30. Rannasto L. 38. Aedla L. 10. Saulus K. 19. Treiberg E.
Substitutes
18. Boberg L. 1. Hertmann E. 4. Parnik G. 15. Priidemann S. 77. Sepp S.
15. Gustsin G. 9. Lindeberg S. 21. Pedak R. 16. Tiigimagi K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Saulus K. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Poora K. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Saulus K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 🟨,
52', 🟨,
73', 1 - 3, Rannasto L. ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Silina E. ⚽,
88', 2 - 4, Treiberg E. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 4, Salei A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 3.
Tabasalu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Saku Sporting is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Tabasalu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Saku Sporting has had a series of home games.
In this match, Saku Sporting is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tabasalu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).
Watch
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Korran M. (G) 
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