Match Info

Meistriliiga Women - Round 20

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Raja Jalgpallihall (Tallinn)


	Tallina Kalev		Saku Sporting

	1	X	2
	5.65	5.4	1.32
	5.6	5.73	1.29
	2.85	4.58	1.93	Watch
	7.08	5.65	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (5.25)	5.34 ↓ (5.56)	1.46 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallina Kalev
17.8%

Draw
17.6%

Saku Sporting
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

16%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

13.7%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallina Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Saku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallina Kalev than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saku Sporting than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saku Sporting, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tallina Kalev - Saku Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Isand U. (G) 5. Rasmussen B. 12. Soasepp M. 21. Link J. 18. Ahmedova S. 4. Orav M. (C) 32. Lehtmets L. 24. Jaarmann M. 6. Fjodorova A. 14. Smirnova Z. 7. Grutop V.	5. Eismann C. (G) 11. Polluvee E. 6. Pedak E. 2. Toding V. 7. Juksar A. 16. Tiigimagi K. 4. Daut G. (C) 14. Hansar R. 10. Saulus K. 30. Rannasto L. 19. Treiberg E.
Substitutes
71. Kalle H. 17. Liivamagi A. 39. Mirjam J. 33. Ots B. 28. Saul S. 10. Vilipuu A.	38. Aedla L. 15. Gustsin G. 20. Liik V. 9. Lindeberg S. 22. Maesalu L. 21. Pedak R. 17. Raidmets A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, ⚽,
34', 🟨,
35', 2 - 2, ⚽,
41', 2 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Kalev is Qualified for Meistriliiga Women (Championship Group )

Saku Sporting is Qualified for Meistriliiga Women (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Saku Sporting is the obvious favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:45. (average 0.9:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallina Kalev Women
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
13.09.25	Viimsi JK - Tallina Kalev	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Tabasalu - Tallina Kalev	4:3 ✺
31.08.25	Tallina Kalev - Elva	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Tammeka Tartu - Tallina Kalev	2:3 ✺
20.08.25	Tallina Kalev - Ararat TTÜ	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW
- Saku Sporting Women
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
17.09.25	Saku Sporting - Flora Tallinn	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Flora Tallinn - Saku Sporting	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Saku Sporting - Ararat TTÜ	10:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
09.08.25	Gintra Universitetas - Saku Sporting	5:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga Women
30.07.25	Tabasalu - Saku Sporting	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga Women
20.06.25	Saku Sporting - Tallina Kalev	5:4
11.05.25	Tallina Kalev - Saku Sporting	2:2
18.10.24	Tallina Kalev - Saku Sporting	0:1
12.10.24	Saku Sporting - Tallina Kalev	3:0
06.07.24	Saku Sporting - Tallina Kalev	0:0
21.04.24	Tallina Kalev - Saku Sporting	1:1
15.11.23	Tallina Kalev - Saku Sporting	0:2

Tallina Kalev - Saku Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide