Match Info

2. SNL - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	NZS


	Tabor Sežana		Bistrica

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.90	4.60
	1.55	3.75	4.7	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.5
	1.58	4.19	5	Watch
	1.65	3.55	4.15
	1.5	4.5	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	3.97 ↓ (3.98)	4.73 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabor Sežana
57.6%

Draw
23%

Bistrica
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22.8%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabor Sežana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Bistrica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabor Sežana than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tabor Sežana - Bistrica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Prva liga and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabor Sežana won 1.

Tabor Sežana is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Bistrica have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tabor Sežana could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Tabor Sežana as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tabor Sežana has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tabor Sežana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	9	7	1	1	20:7	13	22
10	NK Bistrica	9	4	1	4	12:14	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tabor Sežana
Slovenian 2 SNL
19.09.26	Beltinci - Tabor Sežana	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	Tabor Sežana - Dravinja	5:1 ✺
04.09.26	Jadran Dekani - Tabor Sežana	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Tabor Sežana - Brežice	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tabor Sežana - Triglav	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWW
- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
20.09.26	Dravinja - Bistrica	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bistrica - Brežice	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Triglav - Bistrica	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bistrica - Vrhnika	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Bilje - Bistrica	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
12.04.26	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	2:1
28.09.25	Tabor Sežana - Bistrica	2:1
27.04.25	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	0:0
12.10.24	Tabor Sežana - Bistrica	0:0
30.09.23	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	1:0
Slovenian Cup
02.09.20	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	1:2

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