Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Villa Alegre (Encarnación)

Referee: Mendez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tacuary		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.77
	4.5	3.25	1.83	Watch
	4.84	3.35	1.84
	4.25	3.32	1.89	Watch
	4	3.4	1.8
	4.52	3.33	1.83	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3.9)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	1.82 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
21%

Draw
28.1%

Olimpia Asuncion
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

28.9%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

27.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.2%	5.8%	87%

Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: Olimpia Asuncion will win (60 of 68 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.58% – 95.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 34. Arguello M. 11. Brizuela F. 5. Caceres M. 7. Camacho N. 3. Jean Mangabeira 6. Paredes M. (C) 20. Riveros L. 21. Romero L. 24. Samudio M. 4. Victor Ferraz	1. Olveira G. (G) 5. Barreto Viera O. J. 30. Benitez H. 38. Cano Esteche A. B. 22. Capasso M. 20. Franco Zayas A. F. 32. Lopez E. 21. Olmedo C. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 19. Pratto L. 36. Zabala F.
Substitutes
12. Bareiro A. (G) 35. Bedoya S. 28. Berrio O. 32. Burgos G. 33. Caceres L. 13. Espinoza P. 15. Juan Gauto 25. Lezcano D. 27. Medina G. 14. Pedrozo R. 19. Valdeci 9. Verdun J.	8. Arrua C. 3. Benitez H. 2. Espinola C. 7. Fernandez H. 13. Frutos R. (G) 17. Gomez M. 10. Gonzalez D. 33. Morinigo A. 9. Parzajuk K. 27. Ramon Martinez 11. Redes R. 34. Vera M.
Coaches
Palau M.	Palermo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Cano Esteche A. B. 🟨,
37', Samudio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cano Esteche A. B. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
46', Caceres M. ↓, Caceres L. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Romero L. (Own goal),
59', Lopez E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
76', Jean Mangabeira ↓, Medina G. ↑,
76', Romero L. ↓, Espinoza P. ↑,
76', Pratto L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
84', Barreto Viera O. J. 🟨,
88', Samudio M. ↓, Pedrozo R. ↑,
88', Camacho N. ↓, Lezcano D. ↑,
88', Benitez H. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
88', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
90+2', Capasso M. 🟨,
90+5', Vagner 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 1.

Recent matches Tacuary is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Olimpia is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Tacuary won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.08.24	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Sol de América - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Tacuary - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWTL
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	4:0 ✺
06.08.24	Sol de América - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
13.04.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	2:1
23.01.24	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
23.09.23	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0
08.07.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	1:2
23.04.23	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
12.02.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	4:0
05.10.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0

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