Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Cerro Porteño		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.25	Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	2.18	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.31	3.29	3.03
	2.18	3.28	3.34	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.22	3.06	3.43	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.02)	3.13 ↓ (3.86)	3.24 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
42.2%

Draw
29.4%

Olimpia Asuncion
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

24.2%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

24.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Olimpia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 22. Perez M. 15. Riveros B. 30. Gimenez G. 5. Morel J. 11. Iturbe J. (C) 10. Dominguez C. 31. Aliseda I. 19. Vegetti P.	1. Olveira G. (G) 27. Caceres R. 22. Vera J. 2. Bentaberry B. 15. Gamarra M. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 7. Cardozo F. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 5. Alfaro J. F. 28. Quintana H. 17. Alcaraz A.
Substitutes
35. Chaparro M. 34. De Carvalho M. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 28. Franco C. 33. Gomez R. 40. Klimowicz M. 6. Luciatti A. 18. Melgarejo R. 29. Mosquera H. 8. Paredes C. 26. Piris R. 27. Torres J.	39. Abreu L. 35. Alfonso F. 37. Benitez R. 24. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 20. Delmas E. 25. Lentinelly S. (G) 21. Olmedo C. 23. Perez R. 33. Ramirez L. 9. Sandoval H. 3. Silva A. 14. Vargas G.
Coaches
Bava J.	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Riveros B. ↓, Chaparro M. ↑,
38', Quintana H. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Ortiz R. ⚽, Gamarra M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
56', Morel J. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
67', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
67', Cardozo F. ↓, Delmas E. ↑,
78', Gimenez G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
78', Dominguez F. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
79', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
79', Gamarra M. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
79', Vegetti P. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
90', Ortiz R. 🟨,
90+5', Olveira G. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1.

In recent matches, Cerro Porteño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerro Porteño will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	13	8	2	3	22:10	12	26
8	Cerro Porteno	13	5	2	6	15:14	1	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.02.26	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWWT
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.02.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	3:2 ✺
28.01.26	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
19.10.25	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1
03.08.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:3
03.05.25	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2
23.02.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1
27.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	3:0
18.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1
12.05.24	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1

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