Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 6

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Taichung FUTURO		Ulaanbaatar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.6
	2.52	3.86	2.56
	2.38	3.86	2.47
	2.15	3.6	2.62
	2.36	3.5	2.76	Watch
	2.3	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.59)	3.6 ↓ (3.8)	2.59 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taichung FUTURO
39.1%

Draw
25.5%

Ulaanbaatar
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taichung FUTURO has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taichung FUTURO's form might have worsened.

Ulaanbaatar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulaanbaatar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taichung FUTURO than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taichung FUTURO, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulaanbaatar than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulaanbaatar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	7.1%	35.7%

Taichung FUTURO - Ulaanbaatar Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Taichung FUTURO will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Ulaanbaatar will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Taichung FUTURO: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Matsui K. (G) 8. Komori Y. 13. Suganuma S. 3. Chen T. (C) 43. Liang M. 23. Takayama K. 10. Yokoyama S. 18. Li Mao 5. Cheng Hao 17. Hsu H. 7. Ogawa K.	1. Munkherdene E. (G) 23. Amaraa D. 3. Daginaa T. (C) 4. Gerelt-Od B. 12. Otgonbayar O. 24. Erdenechimeg U. 6. Amgalanbat B. 8. Uuganbayar P. 22. Krusevac N. 17. Gantuyaa G. 9. Mijiddorj O.
Substitutes
14. Chen C. 9. Chen H. 99. Estama B. 1. Lee M. (G) 34. Lin Ch. 6. Tsai C. 4. Tseng T. L. 21. Tuan Y. (G)	30. Battseren M. 29. Chuluunbor S. (G) 28. Cirkovic D. 5. Ganbaatar G. 19. Jargaltuyaa T. 18. Lkhagvasuren M. 14. Teofanov S.

Preview

Taichung FUTURO is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ulaanbaatar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Taichung FUTURO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Taichung FUTURO will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Taichung FUTURO won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taichung FUTURO
Taiwan Premier League
10.12.23	AC Taipei - Taichung FUTURO	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	Tainan City - Taichung FUTURO	3:2 ✺
03.12.23	Taichung FUTURO - Ming Chuan University	1:0 ✺
AFC Cup
30.11.23	Taichung FUTURO - Chao Pak Kei	1:0 ✺
Taiwan Premier League
26.11.23	Taichung FUTURO - Hang Yuen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWW
- FC Ulaanbaatar
AFC Cup
30.11.23	Tainan City - Ulaanbaatar	3:0 ✺
09.11.23	Ulaanbaatar - Chao Pak Kei	1:0 ✺
Mongolian Premier League
02.11.23	Ulaanbaatar - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	5:0 ✺
AFC Cup
26.10.23	Chao Pak Kei - Ulaanbaatar	0:1 ✺
Mongolian Premier League
21.10.23	Deren - Ulaanbaatar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
05.10.23	Ulaanbaatar - Taichung FUTURO	0:2

Taichung FUTURO - Ulaanbaatar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide