Match Info

ASIA: ASIAN CUP - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Ahmad bin Ali Stadium (Al Rayyan)

Referee: Fu M. (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	TV4
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Tajikistan		Jordan

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.12	Watch
	3.95	3.05	2.14
	4.09	3.07	2.16
	3.6	3.1	1.95	Watch
	3.89	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.47)	3.12 ↑ (3.06)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tajikistan
24.5%

Draw
30.2%

Jordan
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

30.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.5%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tajikistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Jordan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tajikistan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	57.1%	23.8%

Tajikistan - Jordan Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Tajikistan will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Jordan will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) 5. Safarov M. 6. Khanonov V. 2. Dzhuraboyev Z. 19. Nazarov A. (C) 14. Shukurov A. 7. Umarbaev P. 15. Shervoni M. 17. Panshanbe E. 22. Samiev S. 10. Dzhalilov A.	1. Abu Layla Y. (G) 3. Nasib A. 5. Al Arab Y. 17. Al Ajalin S. 23. Haddad E. (C) 14. Ayed R. 8. Al Rawabdeh N. 13. Al Mardi M. 10. Al-Tamari M. 9. Olwan A. 11. Al Naimat Y.
Substitutes
20. Ayni A. 26. Azizboev M. 16. Barotov D. (G) 24. Imomnazarov D. 3. Islomov T. 25. Khamrokulov N. 23. Khasanov M. (G) 18. Khayloev R. 11. Rakhimov M. 21. Safarov V. 9. Soirov R. 8. Tursunov K.	2. Abu Hasheesh M. 24. Abu Jalbush Y. 7. Abu Taha M. 12. Al Fakhouri A. (G) 26. Awad F. 19. Bani Yassen A. 25. Hammad A. A. M. 22. Juaidi A. (G) 4. Marie B. 18. Rateb S. 15. Sadeh I. 16. Shelbaieh F.
Coaches
Segrt P.	Ammouta H.

Preview

Tajikistan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jordan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jordan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jordan is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tajikistan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tajikistan
Asian Cup
28.01.24	Tajikistan - United Arab Emirates	2:1 penalties ✺
22.01.24	Tajikistan - Lebanon	2:1 ✺
17.01.24	Tajikistan - Qatar	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	China - Tajikistan	0:0 ✺
Friendly
04.01.24	Hong Kong - Tajikistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLTW
- Jordan
Asian Cup
29.01.24	Iraq - Jordan	2:3 ✺
25.01.24	Jordan - Bahrain	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Jordan - South Korea	2:2 ✺
15.01.24	Malaysia - Jordan	0:4 ✺
Friendly
09.01.24	Japan - Jordan	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
16.11.23	Tajikistan - Jordan	1:1
Friendly
05.02.21	Jordan - Tajikistan	0:1
01.02.21	Jordan - Tajikistan	2:0
FIFA World Cup
13.10.15	Jordan - Tajikistan	3:0
11.06.15	Tajikistan - Jordan	1:3

Tajikistan - Jordan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide