Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Longxing Football Stadium (Chongqing) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:35	Migu
Tajikistan	16:35	Varzish Sport


	China		Tajikistan

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	1.83	3.40	4.33
	2.12	3.15	3.45	Watch
	2.25	3.24	3.53
	1.87	3.42	4.1
	2.3	3.05	3.25
	2.2	3.17	3.55	Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.81)	3.19 ↓ (3.66)	3.58 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China
44.4%

Draw
29.4%

Tajikistan
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that China's form might have worsened.

Tajikistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tajikistan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

China - Tajikistan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: China will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Liu Dianzuo (G) Chengdu Rongcheng 2. Browning Tyias (C) Shanghai Port 4. Gao Zhunyi Shandong Taishan 21. Li Y. Chengdu Rongcheng 19. Liu Yang Shandong Taishan 7. Xie Wenneng Shandong Taishan 13. Huang Shenghao Guangdong GZ-Power 6. Wang Shangyuan Henan Songshan Longmen 17. Abdusalam Bunyamin Yunnan Yukun 9. Wang Ziming Chengdu Rongcheng 10. Wei Shihao Chengdu Rongcheng	1. Yatimov R. (G) FK Rostov 20. Karomatullozoda A. Ravshan Kulob 6. Khanonov V. Istiqlol Dushanbe 12. Karimov M. Locomotive Tbilisi 3. Islomov T. Istiqlol Dushanbe 8. Dzhuraboev A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 7. Umarbaev P. Lok. Plovdiv 15. Mabatshoev S. Istiqlol Dushanbe 10. Dzhalilov A. (C) Istiqlol Dushanbe 17. Pandzhshanbe E. Istiqlol Dushanbe 14. Boboev S.
Substitutes
22. Cheng Jin Zhejiang Professional 29. Chen Pu Shandong Taishan 11. Dai Wai-Tsun Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26. Du Yuezheng Chongqing Tonglianglong 8. Gao Tianyi Shanghai Shenhua 14. Huang Jiahui Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 20. Tao Qianglong Zhejiang Professional 3. Wang Gengrui Qingdao West Coast 5. Wei Zhen Shanghai Port 25. Yang Mingrui Dalian Yingbo 15. Yang Ming-Yang Chengdu Rongcheng 1. Yan Junling (G) Shanghai Port 24. Zhang A. Zhejiang Professional 27. Zhao Songyuan 23. Zhong Yihao Henan Songshan Longmen	16. Azizov D. (G) Khosilot Parkhar 25. Babajanov N. Regar-TadAZ 23. Baklov O. (G) Turan 24. Kakhorov M. 26. Khaitov A. Regar-TadAZ 4. Kurbonov S. Istiqlol Dushanbe 13. Melikmurodov A. 19. Nazarov A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 21. Olimzoda F. Ravshan Kulob 11. Rakhimov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe 22. Samiev S. Istiqlol Dushanbe 18. Shukurov A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 9. Soirov R. Istiqlol Dushanbe
Coaches
Shao Jiayi	Angelovski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Xie Wenneng 🟨,
44', Karimov M. 🟨,
45', Wei Shihao 🟨,
45+2', Karomatullozoda A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Browning Tyias ↓, Wei Zhen ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Khanonov V. ⚽,
54', Mabatshoev S. 🟨,
59', Wei Shihao 🟨,
63', Wang Shangyuan ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
63', Wang Ziming ↓, Chen Pu ↑,
63', Li Y. ↓, Zhao Songyuan ↑,
64', Huang Shenghao ↓, Yang Ming-Yang ↑,
67', Karimov M. ↓, Kurbonov S. ↑,
67', Dzhalilov A. ↓, Rakhimov M. ↑,
80', Boboev S. ↓, Khaitov A. ↑,
80', Abdusalam Bunyamin ↓, Yang Mingrui ↑,
80', Xie Wenneng ↓, Zhong Yihao ↑,
84', Dzhuraboev A. ↓, Shukurov A. ↑,
84', Pandzhshanbe E. ↓, Babajanov N. ↑,
84', Umarbaev P. ↓, Irgashev S. ↑,
86', Rakhimov M. 🟨,
89', Zhong Yihao 🟨,
89', Gao Zhunyi ↓, Gao Tianyi ↑,

Preview

China is ranked FIFA: 91., and Tajikistan is ranked FIFA: 101..

China may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

China carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, China has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China
Friendly
02.10.26	China - Palestine	0:5 ✺
27.09.26	China - New Zealand	0:3 ✺
24.09.26	China - Maldives	3:0 ✺
09.06.26	China - Thailand	0:0 ✺
05.06.26	Singapore - China	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWTW
- Tajikistan
Friendly
28.09.26	Tajikistan - Palestine	2:4 ✺
23.09.26	Azerbaijan - Tajikistan	1:0 ✺
09.06.26	Tajikistan - India	1:1 ✺
05.06.26	Tajikistan - India	3:1 ✺
Asian Cup
31.03.26	Tajikistan - Philippines	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
13.01.24	China - Tajikistan	0:0
Friendly
11.06.19	China - Tajikistan	1:0

China - Tajikistan