Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Talanta		MCF

	1	X	2
	1.54	4.13	4.96	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.8
	1.81	3.73	3.83
	1.66	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.96)	3.74 ↑ (2.71)	4.09 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talanta
53.6%

Draw
24.2%

MCF
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

32.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talanta's performance.

MCF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Talanta - MCF Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Talanta (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Talanta will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Talanta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Talanta (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, MCF has had a series of away games.

Talanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Talanta FC	36	15	9	12	46:37	9	54
18	MCF	36	8	10	18	22:38	-16	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Super League
20.12.25	Naivas - Talanta	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Fortune Sacco - Talanta	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Talanta - MOFA	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Talanta - Kabati	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Talanta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWL
- MCF FC
Kenyan Super League
21.12.25	MCF - Darajani Gogo	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Soy United - MCF	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Nzoia United - MCF	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Equity Bank - MCF	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Kabati - MCF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLT

Talanta - MCF