Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday


	Nzoia United		MCF

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	3.55
	2.21	3.07	3.23	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.3
	2.19	2.91	3.32
	2.12	2.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.8)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)	3.36 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nzoia United
41.8%

Draw
31.4%

MCF
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

29.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nzoia United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nzoia United's form might have worsened.

MCF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MCF's recent form is better than expected.

Nzoia United - MCF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟥,
90+7', 🟥,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

Nzoia United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nzoia United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Nzoia United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nzoia United
Kenyan Super League
29.11.25	Nairobi City Stars - Nzoia United	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Kibera Black Stars - Nzoia United	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Fortune Sacco - Nzoia United	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Nzoia United - Darajani Gogo	1:0 ✺
23.05.25	Nzoia United - Kibera Black Stars	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 TTTWW
- MCF FC
Kenyan Super League
29.11.25	Equity Bank - MCF	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Kabati - MCF	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Fortune Sacco - MCF	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Assad - MCF	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	MCF - MOFA	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
12.04.25	MCF - Nzoia United	4:0
05.02.25	Nzoia United - MCF	3:0

Nzoia United - MCF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide