Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Talavera de la Reina		Extremadura UD

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.61	3.5	5
	1.7	3.2	4.7
	1.58	3.45	5.4
	1.62	3.76	5.5
	1.63	3.52	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.96)	3.49 ↑ (3.23)	5.26 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
56.5%

Draw
26.2%

Extremadura UD
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

19.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Extremadura UD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Extremadura UD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Extremadura UD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Talavera de la Reina - Extremadura UD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Talavera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Extremadura UD is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Extremadura UD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.21	SD Logroñés - Talavera de la Reina	3:2 ✺
19.09.21	Talavera de la Reina - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Racing Santander - Talavera de la Reina	5:1 ✺
03.09.21	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0 ✺
29.08.21	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLWL
- Extremadura UD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.21	Extremadura UD - Rayo Majadahonda	3:2 ✺
17.09.21	Extremadura UD - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
12.09.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Extremadura UD	3:0 ✺
04.09.21	Extremadura UD - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Extremadura UD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.21	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.02.21	Talavera de la Reina - Extremadura UD	2:2
22.11.20	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	2:2

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