Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 9

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Badajoz		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.45	3	2.95	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3.18
	2.55	2.67	3.29
	2.35	2.95	2.96
	2.22	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.22)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	3.08 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
38.4%

Draw
31.8%

Talavera de la Reina
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

33%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

33.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4%)

Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 2.

Recent matches Badajoz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Talavera is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Badajoz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Badajoz - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Numancia - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Badajoz - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Illescas - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTWT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Ursaria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	2:1
15.01.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	1:1
18.02.22	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:3
29.08.21	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.02.21	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	0:0
29.11.20	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	0:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.02.20	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	2:0

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