Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 11

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Tamaraceite		Gran Tarajal

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.47	4	6
	1.46	3.86	5.58
	1.46	3.86	5.58
	1.45	4.05	6.05
	1.47	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	5.83 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
61.7%

Draw
22.9%

Gran Tarajal
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamaraceite's performance.

Gran Tarajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Tarajal than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14).

Tamaraceite is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gran Tarajal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tamaraceite could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tamaraceite is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tamaraceite won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamaraceite won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
10.11.23	Teror - Tamaraceite	2:4 ✺
04.11.23	Tamaraceite - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Tamaraceite - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Herbania - Tamaraceite	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Tamaraceite - Buzanada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWLW
- UD Gran Tarajal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.11.23	Gran Tarajal - Herbania	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Buzanada - Gran Tarajal	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Gran Tarajal - Marino	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Santa Úrsula - Gran Tarajal	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Gran Tarajal - Arucas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.01.23	Gran Tarajal - Tamaraceite	0:2
08.02.20	Tamaraceite - Gran Tarajal	1:0

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