Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Tamaraceite		Ibarra

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	1.82	3.3	4
	1.87	3.44	4.35
	1.76	3.53	4.25	Watch
	1.83	3.67	3.98
	1.82	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	4 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
49.9%

Draw
27.1%

Ibarra
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Tamaraceite - Ibarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Suarez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Rivero Santana A. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Falcon T. ⚽,
90+16', 🟥,
90+16', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 1.

Tamaraceite has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ibarra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tamaraceite has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tamaraceite is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tamaraceite won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
17.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Tamaraceite - Los Llanos de Aridane	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Panadería Pulido - Tamaraceite	3:1 ✺
17.04.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Tamaraceite	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLT
- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
17.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Las Palmas B - Ibarra	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ibarra - Herbania	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	San Bartolomé - Ibarra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
17.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	1:0
11.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:1
11.01.25	Tamaraceite - Ibarra	1:0
16.12.23	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	0:0
11.02.23	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	0:0
08.10.22	Tamaraceite - Ibarra	3:0
22.12.19	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:1

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