Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Ibarra		Tamaraceite

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.75
	2.63	2.76	2.91
	2.62	2.85	2.81	Watch
	2.61	2.86	2.8
	2.6	2.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.8 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibarra
35%

Draw
32.5%

Tamaraceite
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ibarra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tamaraceite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Ibarra - Tamaraceite Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibarra won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ibarra won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibarra won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Las Palmas B - Ibarra	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ibarra - Herbania	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	San Bartolomé - Ibarra	4:1 ✺
11.04.25	Ibarra - Santa Úrsula	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Tamaraceite - Los Llanos de Aridane	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Panadería Pulido - Tamaraceite	3:1 ✺
17.04.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Tamaraceite	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Tamaraceite - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.05.25	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:1
11.01.25	Tamaraceite - Ibarra	1:0
16.12.23	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	0:0
11.02.23	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	0:0
08.10.22	Tamaraceite - Ibarra	3:0
22.12.19	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:1
19.01.19	Ibarra - Tamaraceite	3:4

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