Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 19

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Tartu Sepa kunstmuruväljak (Tartu)


	Tammeka U21		Nõmme Kalju U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	4.1	1.7
	3.95	4.95	1.52
	3.61	5.67	1.53
	4.11	5.65	1.54	Watch
	3.45	4.15	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.44)	4.9 ↑ (4.38)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tammeka U21
24.6%

Draw
18.7%

Nõmme Kalju U21
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

20.8%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

20.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Nõmme Kalju U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka U21 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Tammeka U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Antsov A. (C) 2. Sepp M. 3. Kupits K. 14. Kupits K. 25. Puu J. 27. Burov K. 6. Korgvee G. 9. Hurt R. 29. Silov R. 7. Muur R. 13. Ignatius C.	28. Tannenberg R. (G) 22. Liit S. 73. Tomingas K. 2. Lillemets J. 70. Boronilstsikov A. 50. Helmja V. 51. Baptista T. 77. Butenko A. 7. Lotar Eyang E. E. 11. Orlov M. 78. Subbotin I. (C)
Substitutes
24. Burov K. 4. Jurgenthal G. 31. Karis K. 10. Kiidron K. 8. Onishchuk M. 19. Piho O. 22. Sahtel K. (G) 5. Seeba H. 21. Turner G.	79. Hansen M. 53. Jaaniste E. 18. Jurioo A. 1. Ots A. (G) 88. Sarapuu K. 17. Sutorin V. 10. Tragon S. 4. Tummeltau R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
27', 0 - 1, Baptista T. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Baptista T. ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, Baptista T. ⚽,
42', 0 - 4, Baptista T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ignatius C. ↓, Jurgenthal G. ↑,
46', Hurt R. ↓, Kiidron K. ↑,
47', Helmja V. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
69', 1 - 4, Silov R. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90', 1 - 5, Baptista T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka U21 won 1.

Recent form of Tammeka U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nõmme Kalju U21 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nõmme Kalju U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nõmme Kalju U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tammeka U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1.3:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tammeka U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.8:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga
05.07.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tammeka U21	7:0 ✺
30.06.25	Tammeka U21 - Flora U21	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme United	0:12 ✺
14.06.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tammeka U21	3:0 ✺
01.06.25	Viimsi JK - Tammeka U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42 LWLLL
- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
03.07.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United	1:5 ✺
30.06.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tammeka U21	3:0 ✺
03.06.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju U21	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
14.06.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tammeka U21	3:0
15.03.25	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:2
Estonian Esiliiga B
10.11.24	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	4:1
22.08.24	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tammeka U21	3:1
14.07.24	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:4
Club Friendly
05.02.23	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:6

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