Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 17

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev		Nõmme Kalju U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.90	2.95
	1.72	4.15	3.45
	1.75	4.37	3.77
	1.66	4.71	3.61
	1.7	3.9	3.5
	1.68	4.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.81)	4.21 ↑ (4.08)	3.5 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
52.4%

Draw
21.6%

Nõmme Kalju U21
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

22.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

22.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Ilves R. ⚽, Mihhailov V. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Godwin C. ⚽, Pihkva J. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Ilves R. ⚽, Kubensky S. (A),
68', 3 - 1, Pormeister K. ⚽, Sikk A. (A),
80', 4 - 1, Ilves R. ⚽, Sakarias A. (A),
88', 5 - 1, Ilves R. ⚽, Kubensky S. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 7).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Kalev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kalev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52:55	-3	40
9	Nomme Kalju U21	31	7	4	20	38:79	-41	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga
18.06.26	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL
- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
18.06.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:1 ✺
15.06.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United U21	4:1 ✺
01.06.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - FC Tallinn	1:3 ✺
28.05.26	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Viimsi JK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
27.04.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev	0:4

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