Match Info

USL Super League Women

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Riverfront Stadium (Tampa, FL) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:30	Disney+
Brazil	20:30	Disney+
Chile	19:30	Disney+
Colombia	18:30	Disney+
Mexico	17:30	Disney+
Peru	18:30	Disney+
Uruguay	20:30	Disney+
Usa	19:30	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	19:30	Disney+


	Tampa Bay Sun		DC Power

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.07	3.2
	2.21	3.12	3.12	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.15	3.18	3.12
	2.46	3.15	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.46)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	3.02 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Sun
40.5%

Draw
29.5%

DC Power
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

28.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

DC Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC Power than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Tampa Bay Sun - DC Power Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wegener E. (G) 26. Chism T. 4. Bessette V. 15. Hendrix B. 6. McNeill S. 11. Shimkin J. 3. Gabby Provenzano 5. Listro J. 12. Pokorny M. 42. Webber F. 35. Nasello S.	43. Gottschalk M. (G) 2. Bagley A. 24. Maki K. 6. Cummings S. (C) 22. Almendariz P. 23. Gaynor J. 5. Colton E. 17. Richardson H. 18. Torbert D. 19. Walker A. 30. Abera L.
Substitutes
33. Beardsley E. (G) 16. Bryan S. 7. Gaillard S. 19. Giammona C. 20. Haugen V. 18. Parsons M. 25. Parsons P.	14. Asher C. 11. Bedoya J. 8. Fraley A. 7. Frilles C. 88. Krichbaum E. (G) 20. Murnin M. 10. Yango J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Colton E. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Walker A. ⚽, Abera L. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Torbert D. ⚽, Almendariz P. (A),
39', Walker A. 🟨,
42', Bessette V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabby Provenzano ↓, Giammona C. ↑,
46', Shimkin J. ↓, Gaillard S. ↑,
61', Pokorny M. 🟨,
65', Pokorny M. ↓, Parsons M. ↑,
66', Richardson H. ↓, Bedoya J. ↑,
73', McNeill S. ↓, Haugen V. ↑,
82', Hendrix B. ↓, Parsons P. ↑,
83', Listro J. 🟨,
88', Abera L. ↓, Fraley A. ↑,
90+1', Haugen V. 🟨,
90+7', Almendariz P. ↓, Murnin M. ↑,

Preview

Tampa Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

DC Power has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	DC Power W	9	4	2	3	12:9	3	14
7	Tampa Bay Sun W	9	2	3	4	10:14	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Sun - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Sun
USL Super League Women
05.04.26	Tampa Bay Sun - Carolina Ascent	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Dallas Trinity - Tampa Bay Sun	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	DC Power - Tampa Bay Sun	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Tampa Bay Sun - Brooklyn	0:3 ✺
13.03.26	Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLL
- DC Power FC
USL Super League Women
06.04.26	Fort Lauderdale United - DC Power	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	DC Power - Lexington	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	DC Power - Tampa Bay Sun	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Spokane Zephyr - DC Power	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	DC Power - Carolina Ascent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Super League Women
26.03.26	DC Power - Tampa Bay Sun	0:2
14.02.26	Tampa Bay Sun - DC Power	1:1
24.05.25	Tampa Bay Sun - DC Power	2:0
18.04.25	DC Power - Tampa Bay Sun	0:1
02.10.24	DC Power - Tampa Bay Sun	0:3

Tampa Bay Sun - DC Power