The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Sun 28.9%
Draw 28.6%
Carolina Ascent 42.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.9%
28.2%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
28.3%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Carolina Ascent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Ascent than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Tampa Bay Sun - Carolina Ascent Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roque C. (G) 26. Chism T. 4. Bessette V. 11. Hill K. 27. Guidry S. 37. Zade J. 5. Listro J. (C) 3. Kroeger S. 35. Nasello S. 19. Waldeck-Zierenberg T. 9. Connors S.
15. Martinez S. (G) 13. Merrick A. 2. Tappan R. 5. Butler J. 7. Aguilera J. (C) 10. Baisden R. 28. Nabet L. 9. Corbin M. 18. Coleman A. 31. George M. 20. Groom S.
Substitutes
10. Dale E. 22. Goins P. 15. Hendrix B. 6. McNeill S. 7. Scarpelli L. 44. Wegener E. (G) 24. White K.
4. Cook A. 99. Hisey H. (G) 22. Hylton C. 24. Morris E. 8. Moxley E. 23. Parker R. 14. Porter T.
Coaches
Schilte-Brown D.
Poole P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Hill K. 🟨,
31', Corbin M. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Aguilera J. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Baisden R. ⚽, Corbin M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guidry S. ↓, McNeill S. ↑,
46', Chism T. ↓, Goins P. ↑,
46', Kroeger S. ↓, Hendrix B. ↑,
58', Waldeck-Zierenberg T. ↓, Dale E. ↑,
62', Baisden R. 🟨,
67', Corbin M. ↓, Porter T. ↑,
67', Baisden R. ↓, Parker R. ↑,
77', Groom S. ↓, Hylton C. ↑,
77', Nabet L. ↓, Morris E. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Parker R. ⚽, Coleman A. (A),
83', Zade J. ↓, Scarpelli L. ↑,
89', Coleman A. ↓, Moxley E. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 1st in the Promotion - USL Super League Women Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.
Tampa Bay has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Carolina is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carolina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Carolina has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Carolina holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
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Roque C. (G) 
Chism T. 
Bessette V. 
Dale E. 
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