Match Info

Ykkonen - Championship Group

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tampere United		Keski-Uusimaa

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	4.75
	1.57	4.10	4.20
	1.44	4.4	4.9
	1.53	4.68	5.2
	1.54	4.53	4.59	Watch
	1.51	4.55	5.1
	1.52	4.72	4.98
	1.44	4.5	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	4.5 ↑ (4)	4.83 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampere United
60.8%

Draw
20.3%

Keski-Uusimaa
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

22.4%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampere United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampere United's performance.

Keski-Uusimaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampere United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Tampere United - Keski Uusimaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Pakkanen S. (G) 19. Bradbury L. 6. Hasa N. 30. Heikkinen J. 9. Huhtala J. (C) 4. Kovaqi A. 23. Kyllonen L. 5. Laitinen J. 8. Lehtonen R. 15. Rantala J. 22. Vaisanen R.	56. Tikkanen O. (G) 6. Azemi V. 28. Barraza A. 15. Deng A. 5. Makila R. (C) 9. Minkkinen O. 31. Musa A. 25. Niemi O. 26. Pekkala E. 24. Romppanen S. 17. Tiainen S.
Substitutes
2. Alapera J. 21. Enbuska J. 7. Georg J. 29. Huhta K. 1. Immonen J. (G) 17. Kesti L. 33. Malinen J. 13. Sovelius T. 18. Torniainen O.	7. Ahmed M. 1. Barton R. (G) 33. Heikari S. 3. Koivunen L. 23. Kortelainen R. 11. Nenonen N. 16. Norss J. 4. Vuohtoniemi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Kyllonen L. 🟨,
26', Minkkinen O. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
42', 1 - 1, Tiainen S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kyllonen L. ↓, Malinen J. ↑,
58', Huhtala J. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Niemi O. ⚽,
67', Azemi V. ↓, Norss J. ↑,
67', Romppanen S. ↓, Heikari S. ↑,
69', Lehtonen R. ↓, Enbuska J. ↑,
69', Vaisanen R. ↓, Huhta K. ↑,
74', Heikkinen J. ↓, Torniainen O. ↑,
78', Niemi O. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
78', Deng A. ↓, Nenonen N. ↑,
84', Pekkala E. 🟨,
90', Bradbury L. ↓, Georg J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Rantala J. ⚽,
90+1', Minkkinen O. ↓, Vuohtoniemi M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Torniainen O. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Tampere United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Keski-Uusimaa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tampere United is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tampere United won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampere United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	25	15	5	5	58:26	32	50
5	Keski-Uusimaa	25	10	8	7	45:37	8	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampere United
Finnish Ykkonen
29.08.26	OLS - Tampere United	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Tampere United - RoPS	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Tampere United - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	JJK Jyväskylä - Tampere United	0:0 ✺
05.08.26	Tampere United - KPV Kokkola	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTTW
- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
29.08.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Keski-Uusimaa	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Keski-Uusimaa - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	KuPS Akatemia - Keski-Uusimaa	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Keski-Uusimaa - Inter Turku II	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	VJS Vantaa - Keski-Uusimaa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
31.07.26	Keski-Uusimaa - Tampere United	4:4
09.05.26	Tampere United - Keski-Uusimaa	0:0
10.08.25	Keski-Uusimaa - Tampere United	0:0
01.06.25	Tampere United - Keski-Uusimaa	2:2

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