Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 1


	Tanzania		Ethiopia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	2.95	4.2
	1.9	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.93	2.88	4.79
	1.98	3.1	4.22	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.89	3.16	4.57	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.4)	3.08 ↓ (3.8)	4.61 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tanzania
49.7%

Draw
30.1%

Ethiopia
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

23.9%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tanzania's form might have worsened.

Ethiopia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethiopia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Tanzania - Ethiopia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tanzania will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Ethiopia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tanzania: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juma A. (G) Simba 16. Mwaikenda L. Azam 4. Bacca I. Young Africans 5. Dickson J. Azam 15. Husseini M. Simba 20. Miroshi N. Goztepe 7. Mkami H. M. (C) El Gaish 6. Salum F. Azam 19. Balua E. Simba 3. Kibabage N. Young Africans 10. Mzize C. Young Africans	22. Habtamu S. (G) Adama City 18. Gezahegn W. Ethiopian Insurance 16. Baye Y. Bahir Dar Kenema 5. Kasa F. Hadiya Hossana 3. Kassaye Y. Ethiopian Insurance 13. Wolde B. St. Georges 10. Belay B. St. Georges 12. Bekele B. Sidama Bunna 8. Markneh C. Mechal SC 21. Gugsa C. Bahir Dar Kenema 6. Panom G. (C) Fasil Kenema
Substitutes
18. Amos Y. (G) 22. Chilambo N. Ruvu Shooting 8. Josiah A. 21. Kachwele C. Vancouver Whitecaps 13. Mshery A. Young Africans 12. Msindo P. Azam 14. Mwamnyeto B. Young Africans 17. Semfuko D. Coastal Union 11. Waziri J. Mbao 23. Yahya M. Young Africans 2. Zakaria A. Namungo	9. Biniam A. Adama City 7. Dagnachew S. Fasil Kenema 15. Demissie A. Welayta Dicha 11. Fikre B. Welayta Dicha 17. Gebru A. 1. Getahun F. (G) Ethiopia Nigd Bank 19. Hamid S. Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2. Jemal F. Ethiopia Nigd Bank 23. Nuri A. (G) Ethiopian Insurance 4. Solomon M. 14. Wondimu M. Mechal SC
Coaches
Suleiman H.	Haile G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Wolde B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kibabage N. ↓, Msindo P. ↑,
46', Belay B. ↓, Fikre B. ↑,
46', Gugsa C. ↓, Gebru A. ↑,
59', Mkami H. M. ↓, Yahya M. ↑,
59', Balua E. ↓, Waziri J. ↑,
67', Msindo P. 🟨,
75', Markneh C. ↓, Hamid S. ↑,
81', Miroshi N. 🟨,
90+1', Gezahegn W. ↓, Biniam A. ↑,

Preview

In this match Tanzania is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tanzania won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Zambia - Tanzania	0:1 ✺
Friendly
02.06.24	Indonesia - Tanzania	0:0 ✺
25.03.24	Tanzania - Mongolia	3:0 ✺
22.03.24	Bulgaria - Tanzania	1:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
24.01.24	Tanzania - D.R. Congo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWLT
- Ethiopia
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Djibouti - Ethiopia	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Guinea Bissau - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
Friendly
24.03.24	Ethiopia - Lesotho	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Ethiopia - Lesotho	1:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Ethiopia - Burkina Faso	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

CECAFA Championship
30.11.15	Tanzania - Ethiopia	1:2 penalties
28.11.15	Tanzania - Ethiopia	1:1
Friendly
11.01.13	Ethiopia - Tanzania	2:1

Tanzania - Ethiopia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide