Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Tarancón		Calvo Sotelo Puertollano

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.72	3.2
	2.34	2.74	3.23
	2.34	2.74	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarancón
38.9%

Draw
33.1%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

34.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 1.

Tarancón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calvo Sotelo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tarancón could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tarancón - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tarancón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
26.10.25	San Clemente - Tarancón	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tarancón - Villacañas	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Illescas - Tarancón	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Tarancón - Manchego	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Villarrobledo - Tarancón	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLW
- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
26.10.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Pedroñeras	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sonseca - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villacañas	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Illescas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Manchego	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
24.11.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Tarancón	2:2
03.02.24	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2
17.09.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Tarancón	1:1
02.04.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Tarancón	0:2
03.12.22	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1
10.11.19	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0

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