Match Info

Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 22

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Grosics Gyula Stadion (Tatabanya)


	Tatabánya		Kozármisleny

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.27	3.35	2.75
	2.34	3.53	2.82
	2.42	3.39	2.83
	2.27	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (3.45)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	2.72 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatabánya
39.1%

Draw
27.2%

Kozármisleny
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.9%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

25.3%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatabánya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tatabánya's performance.

Kozármisleny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kozármisleny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatabánya than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tatabánya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozármisleny than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kozármisleny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tatabánya - Kozármisleny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Loth P. (G) 3. Arvai D. 48. Csernik K. 6. Derekas Z. 30. Deutsch B. 66. Eordogh A. 33. Harsanyi D. 26. Jagodics M. 11. Katona K. 7. Kiprich D. 10. Szegleti G.	66. Lekai S. (G) 10. Atrok I. 16. Cipf D. 5. Gajag G. 19. Kocs-Washburn E. 8. Major S. 28. Pesti Z. 95. Racz L. 17. Schuszter R. 77. Turi T. 20. Vajda R. O.
Substitutes
42. Bese B. (G) 19. Buna G. 23. Forro G. 32. Jelena R. 22. Kulcsar M. 28. Lapu A. 21. Letenyei Z. 14. Ovari Z. 8. Soltesz B. 75. Varga D. 17. Vass P. 77. Vida K.	15. Horvath P. 6. Kirchner K. 23. Kiss B. 70. Kocsis G. 11. Kosovshchuk O. 7. Lacza A. 13. Lepo K. 1. Oroszi I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kiprich D. ↓, Jelena R. ↑,
65', Kocs-Washburn E. ↓, Kirchner K. ↑,
75', Pesti Z. ↓, Horvath P. ↑,
75', Atrok I. ↓, Kosovshchuk O. ↑,
75', Arvai D. ↓, Vida K. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Gajag G. ⚽,
81', Szegleti G. ↓, Vass P. ↑,
81', Csernik K. ↓, Letenyei Z. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Horvath P. ⚽,
85', Gajag G. ↓, Lepo K. ↑,
87', Katona K. ↓, Lapu A. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Recent matches Tatabánya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kozármisleny is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tatabánya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Tatabánya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tatabánya
Hungarian NB II
16.03.25	Kazincbarcikai - Tatabánya	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Budafoki - Tatabánya	2:3 ✺
02.03.25	Tatabánya - Vasas	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Kisvárda - Tatabánya	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Tatabánya - Budapest Honved	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWLL
- Kozármisleny
Hungarian NB II
16.03.25	Kozármisleny - Budafoki	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Vasas - Kozármisleny	3:1 ✺
03.03.25	Kozármisleny - Kisvárda	2:3 ✺
24.02.25	Budapest Honved - Kozármisleny	5:0 ✺
16.02.25	Szeged 2011 - Kozármisleny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
22.09.24	Kozármisleny - Tatabánya	3:2
26.04.14	Tatabánya - Kozármisleny	0:0

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