Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 11

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	Taubaté		Rio Claro

	1	X	2
	2.19	3	3.2	Watch
	2.31	3.1	3.14
	2.23	3.06	3.2
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.18	3.18	3.23
	2.19	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.84)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)	3.2 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taubaté
41.3%

Draw
30%

Rio Claro
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taubaté's form might have worsened.

Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Claro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taubaté, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Claro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taubaté - Rio Claro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Cesar M. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Batista ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 1, Lucas Venuto ⚽,
87', Cruz D. 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

Recent matches Taubaté is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Claro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Taubaté is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taubaté won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Taubaté won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.25	EC Primavera - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Taubaté - Capivariano	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Taubaté - Linense	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Osasco Sporting - Taubaté	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Taubaté - São Bento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTW
- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.25	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Osasco Sporting - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Rio Claro - Piracicaba	2:3 ✺
05.02.25	Santo André - Rio Claro	5:1 ✺
01.02.25	EC Primavera - Rio Claro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
17.02.24	Rio Claro - Taubaté	3:2
25.01.23	Taubaté - Rio Claro	0:1
19.03.22	Rio Claro - Taubaté	2:1
09.05.21	Taubaté - Rio Claro	0:0
08.03.20	Rio Claro - Taubaté	1:1

Taubaté - Rio Claro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide