Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Taunton Town		Farnham Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.45	2.58
	2.19	3.42	2.75
	2.28	3.65	2.81	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.63
	2.25	3.4	2.76
	3.4	3.8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.7)	3.47 ↓ (4.12)	2.57 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
37.6%

Draw
26.5%

Farnham Town
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

22.5%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

22%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taunton Town's performance.

Farnham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farnham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taunton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farnham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Taunton Town - Farnham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Taunton will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Farnham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Taunton: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Richards J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Taunton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Farnham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Farnham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Taunton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Farnham: 2.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Taunton	9	4	1	4	23:22	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Taunton Town - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Taunton Town - Uxbridge	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Taunton Town - Walton & Hersham	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Basingstoke Town - Taunton Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WWWWT
- Farnham Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Farnham Town - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Hanwell Town - Farnham Town	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sholing - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Farnham Town - Bracknell Town	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Wimborne Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Farnham Town - Taunton Town	4:0

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