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Current Win Probability
Gloucester City 54.7%
Draw 22.4%
Taunton Town 22.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.2%
24.2%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
23.3%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Gloucester City - Taunton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 12th).
Gloucester is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Taunton is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gloucester may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Gloucester for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Gloucester has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1.5:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gloucester against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Taunton
12
6
1
5
32:25
7
19
20
Gloucester
11
2
4
5
15:19
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Gloucester City - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Taunton Town - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 24.68%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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