Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Marlow

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.2
	1.6	4	4.5
	1.63	4.34	4.34
	1.61	4.3	4.71
	1.59	4	4.6
	1.6	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.87)	4.09 ↑ (3.4)	4.48 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
57.1%

Draw
22.4%

Marlow
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.7%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taunton Town's performance.

Marlow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taunton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marlow than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Taunton Town - Marlow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Taunton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marlow has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marlow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Taunton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Poole Town - Taunton Town	2:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.09.24	Plymouth Parkway - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Taunton Town - Hanwell Town	3:3 ✺
26.08.24	Frome Town - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Taunton Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTWT
- Marlow
English Southern League South Division
10.09.24	Marlow - Bracknell Town	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Marlow - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Hanwell Town - Marlow	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Marlow - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Sholing - Marlow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

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