Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 9

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Frome Town		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.40	3.00
	1.97	3.45	2.95
	2.03	3.58	3.12
	2.06	3.71	3.18	Watch
	2.01	3.50	3.05
	2.01	3.78	3.26
	2.03	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)	3.57 ↓ (3.73)	3.09 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frome Town
45.1%

Draw
25.5%

Taunton Town
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

24.2%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

23.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frome Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frome Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

Frome Town - Taunton Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Ali Z. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Duru D. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Maidment W. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 2 - 2, Murray J. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 12th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Frome holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Frome has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frome against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Frome	10	4	3	3	17:13	4	15
8	Taunton	9	4	1	4	23:22	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Plymouth Parkway - Frome Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Frome Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Frome Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWL
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	Uxbridge - Taunton Town	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.02.25	Taunton Town - Frome Town	0:0
26.08.24	Frome Town - Taunton Town	0:2
16.03.19	Frome Town - Taunton Town	2:0
06.10.18	Taunton Town - Frome Town	3:0

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