Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 14

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Umea Energi Arena SOL (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Team TG		Haninge

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.8	1.65
				Watch
	3.64	4.49	1.76
				Watch
	4	3.8	1.67
	3.75	3.94	1.78	Watch
	4.4	4.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.44)	4.05 ↓ (4.25)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team TG
23.2%

Draw
22.7%

Haninge
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

21.8%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.9%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team TG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Haninge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team TG than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haninge than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Team TG - Haninge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Haninge will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jerner A. (G) 4. Berglin W. 12. Hansson E. 11. Hansson W. 8. Junghagen Pliatsikas A. 21. Mossnelid A. 17. Naslund A. 34. Naslund P. 5. Ronnlund W. (C) 18. Sundstrom T. 37. Wolf-Watz M.	1. Alpek C. (G) 14. Bouvin M. 11. Dibba P. (C) 9. Hamidovic E. 4. Id Salem A. 5. Ismail D. 8. Kass Kawo O. 22. Miguel W. 21. Rajamohan A. 19. Tesfay J. 16. Tuhral A.
Substitutes
20. Andersson-Junkka W. 80. Goncalves Karlstedt J. 10. Gustafsson H. 15. Haglund N. 13. Lidman A. (G) 6. Mumand H. 19. Nihorimbere L.	2. Beko S. 25. Kawawa K. (G) 18. Korkmaz M. H. 12. Lenerius L. 3. Nieminen Eriksson F. 13. Royo C. 10. Zengin E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Naslund A. ⚽,
43', Alpek C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Id Salem A. ↓, Royo C. ↑,
46', Royo C. 🟨,
62', Mossnelid A. ↓, Haglund N. ↑,
62', Hansson W. ↓, Mumand H. ↑,
72', Naslund P. ↓, Andersson-Junkka W. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Ismail D. ⚽,
78', Naslund A. ↓, Nihorimbere L. ↑,
78', Sundstrom T. ↓, Gustafsson H. ↑,
79', Gustafsson H. 🟨,
85', Royo C. 🟨,
87', Rajamohan A. ↓, Nieminen Eriksson F. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Dibba P. ⚽,
90+4', Tuhral A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Haninge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Haninge is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Team TG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:14. (average 0.3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Team TG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team TG FF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.06.25	Enköping - Team TG	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Team TG - Stockholm Internazionale	1:3 ✺
01.06.25	Karlberg - Team TG	1:1 ✺
29.05.25	Team TG - Assyriska Föreningen	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Örebro Syrianska - Team TG	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLTLW
- IFK Haninge
Club Friendly
19.06.25	Hammarby - Haninge	8:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.06.25	Haninge - United Nordic	2:2 ✺
08.06.25	Haninge - AFC Eskilstuna	9:3 ✺
02.06.25	Sollentuna - Haninge	3:2 ✺
29.05.25	Hammarby TFF - Haninge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.10.22	Team TG - Haninge	1:1
19.06.22	Haninge - Team TG	2:0
25.10.20	Team TG - Haninge	0:4
19.07.20	Haninge - Team TG	7:0

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