Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 11

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadshagens IP (Vasastaden)


	Karlberg		Team TG

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.75	6.25
	1.36	5	6.8
	1.37	5.16	6.94
	1.38	5.06	6.98	Watch
	1.35	4.5	7
	1.34	5.05	7.28	Watch
	1.36	5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.36)	4.93 ↓ (5.09)	6.86 ↑ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlberg
67.9%

Draw
18.7%

Team TG
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

18.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Team TG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team TG than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Karlberg - Team TG Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gkoulios A. (G) 10. Bergendahl Karki A. (C) 9. Dudziak K. 25. Geiger N. 21. Khan A. 11. Muyenga A. 8. Negash N. 20. Nilsson O. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. 12. Sequar A. 26. Ward K.	1. Jerner A. (G) 22. Andreasson J. 4. Berglin W. 15. Haglund N. 12. Hansson E. 8. Junghagen Pliatsikas A. 6. Mumand H. 17. Naslund A. 34. Naslund P. 5. Ronnlund W. (C) 37. Wolf-Watz M.
Substitutes
35. Bojang E. (G) 16. Granath R. 3. Hellgren I. 5. Jahn M. 13. Koc K. 24. Sietsema L. 28. Tenggren H.	25. Bayeke S. 10. Gustafsson H. 11. Hansson W. 13. Lidman A. (G) 19. Nihorimbere L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Nilsson O. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Negash N. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Naslund A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Khan A. ↓, Granath R. ↑,
65', Geiger N. ↓, Koc K. ↑,
75', Nilsson O. ↓, Sietsema L. ↑,
76', Junghagen Pliatsikas A. ↓, Nihorimbere L. ↑,
83', Naslund P. ↓, Hansson W. ↑,
83', Hansson E. ↓, Gustafsson H. ↑,
85', Nihorimbere L. 🟨,
87', Negash N. ↓, Tenggren H. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Karlberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Team TG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Team TG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Karlberg is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.05.25	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlberg	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Karlberg - Gefle	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Haninge - Karlberg	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Karlberg - Karlstad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLWL
- Team TG FF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.05.25	Team TG - Assyriska Föreningen	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Örebro Syrianska - Team TG	0:4 ✺
18.05.25	Vasalund - Team TG	6:0 ✺
11.05.25	Team TG - Hammarby TFF	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	United Nordic - Team TG	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL

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