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Current Win Probability
Tepecik Belediye 28.3%
Draw 30.6%
Derince Belediyespor 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
29.9%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
22.5%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepecik Belediye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepecik Belediye than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tepecik Belediye that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+19.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derince Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)).
Tepecik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Derince Belediyespor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Derince Belediyespor will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Tepecik won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
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