Match Info

TURKEY: 3. Lig Group 4 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Tepecik Belediye		Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor

	1	X	2
	5.2	3.8	1.55
	5.12	3.7	1.53
	5.51	3.78	1.53
	5.2	3.8	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.43)	3.77 ↑ (3.5)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tepecik Belediye
17.2%

Draw
24%

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

25.8%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tepecik Belediye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepecik Belediye than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tepecik Belediye - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Turk U. M. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Yurtseven T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 3, Bas S. ⚽,
89', Oktem R. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tepecik Belediye
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
08.12.24	Agrispor - Tepecik Belediye	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Tepecik Belediye - Edirnespor Gençlik	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Tepecik Belediye - Erciyes 38	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	1926 Polatlı - Tepecik Belediye	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Tepecik Belediye - Bursa Nilüferspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTTT
- Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
08.12.24	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Erciyes 38	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	1926 Polatlı - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Izmir Çoruhlu - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Orduspor 1967 - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Mardin 1969	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTT

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