Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 1

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: AGC Arena Na Stinadlech (Teplice)

Referee: Radina M. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1


	Teplice		Zlín

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.82	3.45	4.05	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4.47
	1.80	3.73	4.14	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.7
	1.85	3.55	4.17	Watch
	1.75	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.73)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	4.18 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teplice
50.5%

Draw
27.2%

Zlín
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teplice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teplice than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Teplice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Teplice - Zlín Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Zlín (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Teplice will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zlín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 17. Halinsky D. 22. Takacs L. (C) 28. Vecerka D. 26. Danihel D. 19. Jukl R. 13. Sedlacek R. 35. Radosta M. 20. Trubac D. 10. Pulkrab M. 14. Krejci L.	17. Dostal S. (G) 22. Fukala M. 24. Cernin J. 39. Krapka A. 31. Bartosak L. 6. Didiba J. 11. Natchkebia Z. 26. Cupak M. 19. Nombil C. 91. Kalabiska J. 88. Poznar T. (C)
Substitutes
46. Auta J. 7. Beranek M. 6. Bilek M. 11. Kozak M. 31. Lichtenberg K. (G) 33. Ludha R. (G) 12. Naprstek M. 25. Riznic M. 3. Svanda J. 24. Svatek P. 16. Tsykalo Y.	1. Belanik S. (G) 14. Kanu S. 28. Kolar J. 23. Kopecny M. 15. Koubek M. 8. Machalik D. 36. Ovesny R. 16. Petruta S. 82. Pisoja M. 79. Polasek S. 4. Ulbrich T.
Coaches
Frtala Z.	Cervenka B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Pulkrab M. ⚽,
36', Natchkebia Z. 🟨,
45', Krapka A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Poznar T. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
46', Didiba J. ↓, Petruta S. ↑,
54', Cernin J. 🟨,
57', Danihel D. ↓, Svanda J. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Cupak M. ⚽, Kanu S. (A),
65', Krejci L. ↓, Riznic M. ↑,
65', Sedlacek R. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Kanu S. ⚽, Cupak M. (A),
67', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Kopecny M. ↑,
68', Jukl R. 🟨,
74', Svanda J. 🟨,
74', 1 - 3, Nombil C. ⚽, Kanu S. (A),
76', Radosta M. ↓, Auta J. ↑,
78', Takacs L. ↓, Tsykalo Y. ↑,
79', Trubac D. ↓, Naprstek M. ↑,
80', Naprstek M. 🟨,
83', Kalabiska J. ↓, Pisoja M. ↑,
87', Bartosak L. ↓, Polasek S. ↑,
90+3', Riznic M. 🟨,
90+7', Cupak M. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 2.

Teplice is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zlín has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zlín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zlín has had a series of home games.

In this match, Teplice is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Teplice: Harustak J. (Injury) Marecek L. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Teplice: Halinsky D. (Inactive) Pulkrab M. (Inactive) Vecerka D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Teplice won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Teplice
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Teplice	0:1 ✺
08.07.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Teplice	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	Teplice - Ústí nad Labem	3:2 ✺
28.06.25	Teplice - Sparta Prague B	1:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
25.05.25	Teplice - Pardubice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTW
- FC Zlín
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Zlín - Swarovski Tirol	2:2 ✺
09.07.25	Zlín - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
04.07.25	Zlín - Trenčín	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Zlín - Zbrojovka Brno	2:2 ✺
Czech Division 2
25.05.25	Zlín - Artis Brno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
11.02.24	Teplice - Zlín	2:1
26.08.23	Zlín - Teplice	2:1
14.05.23	Teplice - Zlín	2:1
11.02.23	Zlín - Teplice	2:1
27.08.22	Teplice - Zlín	0:0
01.05.22	Zlín - Teplice	3:0
04.12.21	Teplice - Zlín	4:1

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