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Current Win Probability
Como 42%
Draw 28.9%
Sassuolo 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
26.9%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
25.6%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Como - Sassuolo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Gilardi A. (G) 2. Marcussen A. 5. Howard S. 14. Cecotti C. (C) 6. Bergersen M. 28. Kruse M. 10. Chidiac A. 19. Pavan M. 11. Berisha F. 9. Pinther V. 7. Nischler N.
16. Durand S. (G) 25. Venturelli C. 5. Caiazzo S. 24. De Rita A. 7. Skupien K. 12. Missipo K. 6. Doms M. 2. Philtjens D. (C) 4. Fercocq H. 13. Dhont E. 90. Ndjoah Eto N.
Substitutes
16. Bernardi V. 1. Capelletti A. (G) 15. Gelbhart R. 21. Picchi M. 24. Rizzon G. 3. Ronan K. 30. Ruma G. (G) 20. Vaitukaityte L.
1. Benz N. (G) 15. Brignoli B. 17. Chaib L. 78. De Bona F. (G) 10. Filis M. 19. Galabadaarachchi J. 14. Hagemann M. 3. Mella S. 21. Nash J. J. 30. Perselli M. 9. Sabatino D. 99. Stanic P.
Coaches
Tramezzani P.
Colantuono S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Chidiac A. ⚽, Pavan M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Nischler N. ⚽,
64', Pinther V. ↓, Vaitukaityte L. ↑,
69', Fercocq H. ↓, Galabadaarachchi J. ↑,
74', Berisha F. ↓, Bernardi V. ↑,
79', Skupien K. ↓, Sabatino D. ↑,
84', Sabatino D. 🟨,
87', Chidiac A. ↓, Picchi M. ↑,
87', Kruse M. ↓, Rizzon G. ↑,
89', Philtjens D. ↓, Perselli M. ↑,
89', De Rita A. ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Como won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Como won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).