Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Pinilla (Teruel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Teruel		Izarra

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.1	4.33
	1.83	3.1	4.3
	1.89	3.06	4.59
	1.84	3.03	4.67	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.58
	1.83	3.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.16)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	4.46 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
49.8%

Draw
29.7%

Izarra
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Teruel's performance.

Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Izarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teruel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Izarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Teruel - Izarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Le Normand T. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Recent matches Teruel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Izarra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Teruel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Teruel is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.10.24	Anguiano - Teruel	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Teruel - Gernika	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Teruel	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Teruel - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	SD Logroñés - Teruel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTT
- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.10.24	Gernika - Izarra	5:2 ✺
29.09.24	Izarra - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Poblense - Izarra	4:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.09.24	Alavés B - Izarra	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Izarra - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTW

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